Denholm Associates
BLOGSpiritsFMCG0 Min Read

A trade win

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US tariffs on Scotch whisky have fallen to zero. Slainte!

Good news travels fast.  

The UK Government has confirmed that the first shipment of tariff-free Scotch whisky will leave for the US within 48 hours, following the removal of US tariffs on Scotch whisky. For Scottish spirits businesses, this is more than a welcome headline.  

The US is Scotch whisky’s most valuable export market. The Scottish Government recently put exports to the US at around £933 million, while industry reporting showed that whisky exports to the US had fallen in both value and volume during the tariff period. 

You can hear the collective sigh of relief from distillers, brand owners, logistics teams, commercial leaders and the wider supply chain that keeps the sector moving. 

But a tariff cut does not hire people. It does not build capacity. It does not strengthen a leadership team by itself. 

That work starts now. 

 

What has changed for Scotch whisky exporters? 

The removal of US tariffs gives Scotch whisky a cleaner route into a major market. It also appears to give UK whisky an advantage over some Irish and French spirits rivals, which continue to face duty into the US. 

For Scottish spirits businesses, that can support pricing, margin, confidence and export planning. It may also accelerate conversations that had been paused: market investment, US distributor relationships, production planning, brand activation, digital commerce, finance, compliance and supply chain capacity. 

That is where the people question comes in. 

When trading conditions improve, the strongest businesses usually move first. They look at the market, then at the team, then at the gap between the two. 

 

What does this mean for hiring leaders? 

A tariff win creates opportunity. It also creates pressure. 

If US demand strengthens, whisky businesses may need to revisit hiring plans across sales, export, finance, operations, logistics, brand, marketing, data and senior leadership. The same applies to suppliers and partners across packaging, warehousing, transport, hospitality, visitor experience and specialist professional services. 

The first question is simple: do we have the people to use this moment well? 

That does not mean rushing into a hiring spree. It means making sharper decisions about where talent will increase growth and revenue or reduce operational strain. 

For some businesses, that may mean permanent hires in commercial or supply chain roles. For others, it may mean interim support to manage a short-term export push. For senior teams, it may mean fractional expertise in US market entry, brand growth, finance or transformation. 

A better market creates options. Options still need judgement. 

 

Where are the likely talent pressure points? 

The Scotch whisky sector already relies on a broad mix of specialist talent. This deal could increase demand in several areas. 

Commercial and export roles may become more urgent as businesses look to deepen US relationships and convert tariff relief into orders. 

Supply chain and operations teams may feel the earliest strain if shipment volumes rise, timelines tighten or distributor expectations shift. 

Finance leaders may need to remodel margin, pricing and investment assumptions across markets. 

Marketing and brand teams may have a fresh reason to tell the Scotch story in the US, especially where provenance, premium positioning and visitor experience matter. 

Senior leaders may need to decide how ambitious to be. That is often the hardest hire of all: the person who can turn a favourable market condition into disciplined growth. 

 

How should employers respond? 

Start with the work, then build the role. 

A useful hiring conversation should begin with three questions: 

What commercial outcome has this tariff change made more realistic?  

Which capability do we need to deliver that outcome?  

Do we need permanent, interim, contract or fractional support? 

That sequence matters. It stops businesses from hiring around vague optimism. It also helps hiring managers separate immediate capacity gaps from longer-term leadership needs. 

For clients in spirits and adjacent FMCG sectors, this is a moment to review the hiring model as much as the headcount plan. The best answer may be a permanent commercial hire. It may be an interim operations lead. It may be a fractional specialist who can pressure-test the US plan before a full senior appointment is made. 

The point is to match talent to the business moment. 

 

The bigger lesson for Scotland’s spirits sector 

Trade policy can change quickly. Talent decisions usually cannot. 

That is why the most resilient businesses build a talent plan before the pressure arrives. They know which roles create value, which skills are scarce, which leaders are stretched, and where external support would make the biggest difference. 

The tariff news is very welcome. It gives Scottish whisky businesses room to breathe and reason to look outward again. 

Now comes the practical bit. Turning a trade advantage into commercial performance takes people with the right skills, judgement and pace. 

Raise a glass, by all means. Then look at the team sheet. 

 

Denholm's take

For spirits businesses reviewing growth plans after the US tariff change, now is the time to audit capability across commercial, supply chain, finance, marketing and leadership. The opportunity is real. The hiring response should be measured, specific and built around the work that will make the opportunity count. Speak to our Spirits team on 03303 359 818 to discuss your hiring strategy or leadership needs.